NFL 2022 Week 1 Spread and Total Model

Below is our weekly projection model for every game each week. The model predicts both spreads and totals. There are also some terms listed for each column. The goal for the season is to win more than 52.38% of our bets. Make sure to stay up to date with injuries and weather!

Line – Represents what the total and spread are for each game

Projected Line – What our projections say the line should be

How you should use this model is look for games that have a large gap in the line versus the projected line. From there you will need to do your own research to determine if its justifiable or if its a worthy bet. Good luck!

*Week 1 lines will be updated and projections will be posted once we are closer to kickoff, the following is an example of what the projections will look like*

GameLineProjected LineDAL @ TBTB -7.5
50.5TB -6.53
52.21PHI @ ATLATL -3.5
48ATL -0.14
47.21PIT @ BUFBUF -7
50.5BUF -8.31
48.21MIN @ CINMIN -3.5
48CIN -1.1
47.21SF @ DETSF -7.5
45.5SF-6.5
43.9ARI @ TENTEN -3
51.5TEN -2.91
49.87SEA @ INDIND -1.0
43.5IND -1.89
42.98LAC @ WASPK
44.5LAC -1.57
42.68NYJ @ CARCAR -4.5
43.5CAR -2.98
42.15JAX @ HOUJAX -3
45JAX -1.34
44.75CLE @ KCKC -6
53KC -6.81
50.78MIA @ NENE -2.5
44.5NE -2.98
43.02GB @ NOGB -3
50.5GB -3.54
48.96DEN @ NYGDEN -1.5
42.5DEN -2.01
40.79CHI @ LARLAR -7
45LAR -8.55
46.78BAL @ OAKBAL -2.5
48.5BAL -3.54
49.51Week 1 spread/total model

Author: Calvin Stewart