Arizona Cardinals 2022 Preview – Hidden Layer Betting

2021 Record: 11-6 2nd NFC West

2022 Win Total: 

Over 8.5 -115

Under 8.5 -115

Notable Stats:

Yards Per play: 16th 5.5

Yards per pass attempt: 6th 7.6

Offensive QB Sack percentage: 19th 6.1%

Defensive QB sack rate: 12th 6.76%

Yards per run:  22nd 4.2

3rd down conversion rate: 8th 43.48%

Turnover Margin: 6th +0.6

Yards Per Play allowed: 18th 5.5

Yards per pass attempt allowed: 20th 6.7

Yards allowed per rush: 25th 4.5

Notable losses:  Christian Kirk WR, Chase Edmonds RB, LB Chandler Jones

Notable additions: Marquise Brown WR, Will Hernandez RG, Darrel williams RB

1st Round Draft Pick(s): N/A

Strength of schedule: 24th (1 Easiest, 32 Hardest)

2021 Review:

The Cardinals started out as the hottest team in the NFL. They cruised to a 7-0 record and were 10-2 before they lost 5 of their next 6 games including a blowout playoff loss to the Rams. For a team that had to rely on Colt McCoy for nearly 20% of their season, the Cardinals outperformed expectations in the regular season. In the final 6 games the Cardinals played, Kyler Murray threw for just 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Kyler once again appeared to not be 100% down the stretch of the season, and capped off the year with an abysmal performance against the Rams. 

Offensive Outlook: 

Let’s start off with the bad news. Deandre Hopkins will start the season with a 6 game suspension for PED use. To make matters worse, the Cardinals will play 4 games versus teams that made the playoffs in 2021 during that stretch. Now for the good news. The Cardinals landed Marquise Brown and will need him to establish a good connection with Kyler quickly in order to not see too much of a drop off due to the Hopkins suspension. The Cardinals should also ex[ect better offensive line play this season. 4 of the 5 expected starting offensive lineman will be entering their 2nd or more season on the team. They also added William Hernandez who is a former 2nd round pick that should help. With the loss of Chase Edmonds, James Conner appears to be entering a workhorse role for the Cardinals. Conner will be important for the Cardinals to stay balanced and keep Murray from taking too many hits on designed runs. 

Defensive Outlook:

The Cardinals defense lucked out in terms of QB matchups in 2021. This is the full list of quarterbacks they faced: Ryan Tannehill, Kurt Cousins, Trevor Lawrence (rookie), Matthew Stafford (twice), Trey Lance (rookie), Baker Mayfield, Davis Mills (rookie), Aaron Rodgers, Jimmy Garoppolo, PJ Walker, Russell Wilson (twice), Andy Dalton, Jared Goff, Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott. Outside of Dak, Rodgers, Stafford, and Wilson there isn’t really that much to hang your hat on. From a talent standpoint, the Cardinals have likely only gotten worse in 2022 with the loss of Chandler Jones. They do have a few 2nd year players that could make an impact, but otherwise this unit is likely about where they were last season. 

Season Prediction:

There was a bit of sticker shock for me once I saw the Cardinals win total. Given they won 11 games last season, an 8.5 game win total seemed low before I did any research. Given the difficult strength of schedule, I expect the Cardinals defense will be exposed more this season. With Hopkins suspended and Conner as the lone primary running back, the margin for losing players is very small for the Cardinals. I still think that Kyler will win games that the Cardinals would otherwise lose. I like over 8.5 wins and at -115 this only needs to hit around 53.5% of the time to break even.

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Author: Calvin Stewart