Los Angeles Rams 2022 Preview

2021 Record: 12-5 1st NFC West

2022 Win Total: 10.5 Wins

Over 10.5 -120

Under 10.5 -110

Notable Stats:

Yards Per play: 5th 5.9

Yards per pass attempt: 3rd 8.2

Offensive QB Sack percentage: 6th 4.83%

Yards per run:  29th 3.7

3rd down conversion rate: 6th 44.6%

Turnover Margin: 16th 0.0

Yards Per Play allowed: 6th 5.2

Yards per pass attempt allowed: 12th 6.4

Yards allowed per rush: 4th 3.9

Defensive QB sack rate: 5th 7.39%

Notable losses:  Odell Beckham Jr WR (Potentially) , Andrew Witworth LT, Robert Woods WR, Von Miller LB

Notable additions: Allen Robinson WR, Bobby Wagner LB

1st Round Draft Pick(s): N/A

Strength of schedule: 31st (1st  easiest, 32nd hardest)

2021 Review:

My biggest hit of last season was predicting the Rams to win the Super Bowl and after cashing in on a 16/1 ticket it feels good to victory lap. The Rams were a complete team on both sides and were able to maximize the talent of their players at nearly every position. They also did a decent job of keeping the team together in the offseason. 

Offensive Outlook: 

The Rams on paper are just as dangerous as they were last season if not more. If they are able to resign OBJ, then the addition of Allen Robinson will more than make up for the loss of Robert Woods. One area the Rams could even improve on is in the running game. Sitting at just 29th in yards per run, the Rams can really only get better in that area. So long as Cooper Kupp and Stafford are healthy though, this team should compete with anyone each week. 

Defensive Outlook:

The biggest elephant in the room is also arguably the greatest defensive player in the league. It appears Aaron Donald is going to play this season, but it is somewhat concerning how close he came to retirement. Perhaps the state of the economy convinced him to keep playing? Who knows. The one loss that may be difficult to overcome is the loss of Von Miller. The Rams signed Bobby Wagner to help fill the void but you still have to project a slight downgrade. Overall I expect this unit to play as well as last season. 

Season Prediction:

This team has every reason to play as well as they did last season. Given that 2 of the other teams in their division will be starting different quarterbacks this season, I’m inclined to believe the Rams will likely win the division. The problem is that it is hard to project the Super Bowl hangover effect. Especially for someone like Matthew Stafford, this was a pie in the sky achievement for nearly everyone on the team. It seems likely that they will suffer at least some sort of decline in motivation. Combine that with the league’s 2nd most difficult strength of schedule and you begin to see a tough road ahead. I would be more inclined to bet the Rams to win the division at +135 rather than better over 10.5 wins at -120. If you expect the Rams to win at least 11 games, they likely have a good chance at winning the division as well. I’ll take the over on 10.5 wins but not betting that number. Give me +135 to win the division instead. 

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Author: Calvin Stewart