New York Giants 2022 Preview

2021 Record: 4-13 4th NFC East

2022 Win Total: 7 wins

Over 7 wins -125

Under 7 wins -105

Notable Stats:

Yards Per play: 31st 4.7

Yards per pass attempt:  32nd 5.8

Offensive QB Sack percentage: 17th 6.02%

Yards per run:  24th 4.0

3rd down conversion rate: 24th 36.52%

Turnover Margin: 26th -0.5

Yards Per Play allowed: 11th 5.3

Yards per pass attempt allowed: 7th 6.3

Yards allowed per rush: 22nd 4.5

Defensive QB sack rate: 25th 5.27%

Notable losses:  Joe Judge HC, Mike Glennon QB, Devontae Booker, Evan Engram TE, Kyle Rudolph TE

Notable additions: Brian Daboll HC, Tyrod Taylor QB, Jon Feliciano C, Mark Glowinski RG, Don Martindale DC, Jihad Ward LB

1st Round Draft Pick(s): Kayvon Thibodeaux DE Oregon, Evan Neal OT Alabama

Strength of schedule: 1st (1 Easiest, 32 Hardest)

2021 Review:

The Giants fell flat on their faces in 2022. On the ground they struggled to get much going especially once Saquon Barkley went down in week 5. In the air, the Giants were the worst team in the league ranking 32nd in yards per pass attempt. Whether it was Daniel Jones, Mike Glennon, or Jake Fromm the G men had just one game with more than 270 passing yards and three games with less than 100! While injuries certainly played a factor in the teams performance, there’s no excuse for poor coaching. At times the Giants ran QB sneaks on 2nd down. Ultimately the Giants fired head coach Joe Judge and brought in former Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll to replace him. 

Offensive Outlook: 

Starting with the offensive line, the Giants will have plenty of youth up front. Rookies Joshua Ezeudu and Evan Neal are projected to start at left guard and right tackle respectively. Andrew Thomas will start his 3rd season in the league at left tackle. That leaves just Jon Feliciano and Mark Glowinski as the only projected starting offensive lineman with more than two years of playing time. While the young players could provide depth, I’m not sold that they won’t be a liability to begin with. Moving to the backfield, the Giants need to keep Saquon healthy. Since joining the league in 2018, he has just one full season which was his rookie year. So far in training camp, it seems that Barkley is healthy and explosive once again. Hopefully it stays that way as the Giants have no depth behind him. Matt Breida is his projected backup and is on his 4th team in four years. At receiver the Giants have plenty of weapons that makeup a solid receiver corps. Kenny Golladday, Kadarius Toney, Darius Slayton, and Sterling Shepard have all shown flashes of brilliance. The Giants have plenty of talent to improve their dead last yards per pass attempt ranking. Where I expect the most improvement is at coaching. Brian Daboll should be a breath of fresh air for the entire offense. I expect Daboll to provide better gameplanning, coaching, and situational awareness that will benefit the entire team as a whole. Unfortunately for Daboll, he doesn’t have Josh Allen at the helm. Instead he will try to lift the play of quarterback Daniel Jones. Last season Jones was 26th in yards per pass attempt, 22nd in QBR, and 26th in QB rating. While Jones has shown talent with his arm and his legs, he often makes inaccurate throws and displays poor judgment. For this season, Dabolls number one priority will be to design an offense that caters to Jones’ strengths. I’m confident that Daboll will have some success in accomplishing that objective. As a whole, I think this offense will be closer to 24th this year instead of dead last. 

Defensive Outlook:

The Giants are projected to have four former first round draft picks starting on defense. Up front  first round picks Leonard Williams, Kayvon Thibodeaux, and Dexter Lawrence should provide plenty of strength and ability to help in both the passing and running game. In the secondary the Giants drafted cornerback Cor’dale Flott to help in the passing game. The Giants were a surprising 7th in yards allowed per pass attempt last season, so Flott should do plenty to keep that ranking intact. New Giants defensive coordinator Don Martindale should have a solid group of players to design his scheme around. In the past, Martindale has been known to blitz heavily. It will be interesting to see if Martindale maintains that strategy, or if he tries to let his first round talent provide the pass rush themselves. Given how well this defense played last year, I would expect similar production this year. 

Season Prediction:

With new coaches, two first round picks, and the easiest strength of schedule in the entire league what’s not to love? The answer to this question is the quarterback position. It’s hard to judge how good an offensive coordinator is when their quarterback is one of the best in the league. I wonder how much time and energy is spent on elevating the play of Daniel Jones instead of on the game plan. I also wonder if Daboll is perceived as a good coach solely because of Josh Allen. I’ll side with over seven wins for the purposes of making a pick, but will not bet anything on it.

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Author: Calvin Stewart