2021 Record: 9-8
2022 Win Total: 9.5 wins
Over 9.5 wins -150
Under 9.5 wins +120
Yards Per play: 13th 5.7
Yards per pass attempt: 14th 7.2
Offensive QB Sack percentage: 14th 5.79%
Yards per run: 4th 5.0
3rd down conversion rate: 4th 45.11%
Turnover Margin: 19th -0.2
Yards Per Play allowed: 7th 5.2
Yards per pass attempt allowed: 10th 6.4
Yards allowed per rush: 7th 4.0
Defensive QB sack rate: 29th 5.01%
Notable losses: Jordan Howard RB, Alex Singleton LB
Notable additions: AJ Brown WR, Zach Pascal WR, Kyzir White LB, Haason Reddick LB, Jaquiski Tartt S, James Bradberry CB
1st Round Draft Pick(s): Jordan Davis DT Georgia
Strength of schedule: 2nd (1 Easiest, 32 Hardest)
The Eagles had a rough start to the 2021 season as they went 3-6 in their first nine games. They did have a difficult strength of schedule during that stretch as their losses came against the following teams: 49ers, Cowboys, Chiefs, Buccaneers, Raiders, and the Chargers. Every team except the Chargers made the playoffs and the Chargers could’ve made it if it weren’t for a last second field goal in week 17. Despite the rough start, the Eagles rallied and won six of their next eight games to make the playoffs. Unfortunately for Philly, the Bucs were waiting in the playoffs and cruised to an easy 31-15 victory over the Eagles. Overall, the Eagles were a decent team on offense and defense. They were 13th in yards per play and 7th in yards per play allowed. Running at the highest rate in the NFL, the Eagles elected to use Jalen Hurts as a two way quarterback that could pass and run. This led to Hurts not only leading the team in rushing yards, but also leading the team in rushing touchdowns.
Up front the Eagles may have the best offensive line in the league. With a combined 30 years of experience, the line should have plenty of veterans to control the line of scrimmage. Anchored by Lane Johnson and Jason Kelce, I expect the Eagles to improve on offensive QB sack percentage ranking. At running back the Eagles get Miles Sanders in the last year of his contract. When healthy, Sanders was the Eagles best running back averaging 5.5 yards per carry which ranked significantly above Boston Scott (4.3) and Kenneth Gainwell (4.3). If Sanders can stay healthy, I expect him to take over this backfield as a 3 down do it all back. At receiver the Eagles made a huge splash by trading for AJ Brown during the draft which provided a 1A to DeVonta Smiths’ 1B. Those two combined with pass catching tight end Dallas Goedert should give all the weapons the Eagles need when they do elect to pass. The expectations for this team now fall solely on quarterback Jalen Hurts. Hurts was 15th in the league in yards per pass attempt last season but provided value elsewhere with his legs. Hurts will need to make improvements in the passing game if the Eagles are to make a deep playoff run. I think the offense will not only improve this season, but create a headache for every defensive coordinator they face. When you can move the ball in a variety of ways, it becomes exceptionally difficult to design an effective game plan that accounts for everything.
Between Brandon Graham, Fletcher Cox, Javon Hargrave, and Derek Barnett the Eagles have 33 years of experience on the defensive line. That should provide a layer of communication and awareness that will work wonders throughout the season. The Eagles would benefit from a full season from Brandon Graham who only played two games last year, but has multiple 8+ sack seasons in his resume. At linebacker the Eagles lose Alex Singleton who led the team in total tackles. The Eagles elected to replace him by signing Haason Reddick and Kyzir White. White had 144 tackles which led the Chargers in 2021, and Reddick has recorded 12.5 and 11 sacks in his past two seasons. Those two should provide plenty of replacement talent to make up for the loss of Singleton. In the secondary Philly added Jaquisky Tartt and James Bradberry. Bradberry recorded four interceptions last season, and Tartt has shown a good ability at covering tight ends. G iven how well the Eagles played last season, I would expect similar production this year.
With the 2nd easiest strength of schedule in the entire NFL, this team is primed for not just a playoff appearance but a possible Super Bowl appearance. I like over 9.5 wins, I like Eagles to win the NFC East at +160, and I think Eagles 33/1 to win the Super Bowl will give you some hedge opportunities later in the postseason.